European Election: votes in Ealing borough

This table shows the breakdown of the Euro election 2009 vote in the borough of Ealing:



Compared to 2004 the Labour vote has dropped by just over 6%. Without wishing to over-simplify matters, this is roughly the same as the vote share received by the pro-Tamil candidate Jan Jananayagam. Perhaps if she hadn't appeared on the ballot paper, Labour might have fared better.

My conclusion is that the Conservative vote has held up strongly, but I see nothing in the data to suggest anything other than a very tight contest at the next general election, especially in Central Ealing.